The latest GFS models continue to show both highly above and well below average temps throughout the United States through the first week of February.
While above average temperatures persist in the midwest and western parts of the U.S., artic air continues to push down from Canada to bring colder than normal temps to the eastern seaboard of the United States.
A particularly large cold air mass is expected to arrive in northern states around January 31. As it dips south, the air mass, which could include temperatures 15-20 below normal in southern states such as Texas and South Carolina, will likely create high demand for heating.
The cold air mass quickly dissipates, however, with seasonal to slightly above average temps returning for most of the U.S. by February 6.
The GFS 2m Temperature Anomaly is computed using a 30 year climatology (1981-2010) of the NCEP/CFSR reanalysis dataset. This forecast model is used by natural traders and investors to detect average, above average, or below average temperatures and thus natural gas demand.
Data provided by Levi Cowan at tropicaltidbits.com.